Transparency
Transparent by design
Models are built from official international and national data sources, with documented assumptions, clear closure rules, and auditable workflows.
Independent CGE modelling
When a model needs to hold up to scrutiny.
Most CGE results can't be interrogated. Griffin CGE Solutions builds models where every assumption, transmission channel, and number is traceable — providing CGE modelling, Social Accounting Matrix construction, GAMS training, model review, and policy impact analysis for governments, international institutions, and advisory teams.
Why Griffin CGE
Transparent modelling for decisions that require confidence.
Good CGE modelling should do more than produce headline GDP numbers. It should show how a shock or reform moves through sectors, households, prices, trade, fiscal balances, and macroeconomic aggregates.
Policy use
Policy-relevant outputs
Results are structured around the policy question: who is affected, through which channels, and under which assumptions.
Capacity
Client-owned capability
Training, model documentation, and source-code access help clients understand, adapt, and reuse the analytical framework.
Featured policy insight
Stress-testing economies under trade, energy, and fiscal shocks.
Standard macro forecasts often show the headline outcome. CGE modelling shows the anatomy of the shock: which sectors absorb the damage, how prices and incomes adjust, how trade flows change, and how public finances respond.
Applications include energy-market disruption, trade-route shocks, import-price transmission, fiscal reform, household welfare, emissions policy, and structural transformation.
From aggregate effects to transmission channels
Model outputs can be structured for ministries, multilateral teams, advisory firms, and non-technical stakeholders.
- Macroeconomic outcomes: GDP, consumption, investment, trade, public finances.
- Sectoral outcomes: production, prices, employment, imports, exports.
- Distributional outcomes: household welfare, income groups, poverty-related indicators where data permit.
- Scenario comparison: baseline, policy reform, external shock, and sensitivity cases.
Posts and insights
LinkedIn posts and company updates.
Selected public LinkedIn material showing how Griffin CGE Solutions applies CGE modelling to current policy questions, economic shocks, and transparent model design.
LinkedIn series
Qatar, LNG, and Strait of Hormuz disruption
A CGE-based discussion of how a major energy and trade-route shock can transmit through GDP, investment, public finances, sector output, prices, and household incomes.
View post on LinkedInModel coverage
Global CGE modelling database
Overview of Griffin CGE Solutions’ use of official datasets, including OECD ICIO, IMF Balance of Payments, IMF Government Finance Statistics, and frameworks covering up to 80 countries and 50 sectors.
View LinkedIn profileCompany update
Transparent modelling for policy analysis
Updates on Griffin CGE Solutions’ approach to bespoke CGE model development, Social Accounting Matrices, GAMS training, and transparent alternatives to black-box modelling.
View LinkedIn profile and updatesServices
Modelling, data, training, and assurance.
Services can be delivered as stand-alone assignments or combined into a full policy-modelling programme.
CGE impact assessment
Analysis of policy reforms, external shocks, investment programmes, reconstruction needs, fiscal measures, trade changes, and climate-related transitions.
Bespoke CGE model development
Country, regional, or multi-country models tailored to the client institution, policy question, sector structure, and available data.
Social Accounting Matrices
Construction, balancing, updating, reconciliation, and documentation of SAMs using official source data and transparent methods.
Training and capacity building
Practical GAMS and CGE training for analysts, ministries, agencies, universities, and international institutions.
Model review and assurance
Independent review of existing models, equations, data, assumptions, closure rules, calibration, simulations, and interpretation.
Scenario tools and reporting
Clear reporting, model documentation, scenario dashboards, tables, and presentation materials for policy and management audiences.
Coverage
Model coverage and delivery.
Model coverage is structured around the policy question, available data, and institutional requirements.
| Capability | Coverage |
|---|---|
| Geography | Applied modelling experience across 60+ countries, supported by a database developed for 80+ countries. |
| Sectors | Applied frameworks with up to 50 sectors, depending on data quality and policy needs. |
| Model types | Static, recursive-dynamic, single-country, regional, multi-country, and macro-consistent modelling frameworks. |
| Core data | National accounts, supply-use tables, input-output data, household data, trade data, fiscal data, balance of payments, and SAMs. |
| Software | GAMS-based modelling, training, source-code delivery, and documented workflows. |
| Outputs | GDP, prices, wages, employment, trade, public finances, sectors, households, and emissions where relevant. |
Publications
Selected publications and institutional reports.
The records below link to official World Bank, publisher, or institutional records. Authorship labels distinguish formal authorship from named contributions, consultancy roles, and technical modelling leads.
Jordan Economic Monitor: Uncertain and Long Trail Ahead
Named author of analytical box / contributorView World Bank PDFJordan COVID-19 Impact: CGE and Micro-simulation Analysis
Co-author / named contributorView World Bank PDFGaza Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment
Macroeconomic impact contributorView World Bank PDFBeirut Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment
Macroeconomic impact contributorView World Bank PDFProspects for Growth and Jobs in the Palestinian Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis
CGE modelling lead / named contributorView World Bank PDFEgypt: Guiding Reform of Energy Subsidies Long-Term
Co-authorView World Bank PDFEnergy Subsidies and the Path Toward Sustainable Reform in the Arab Republic of Egypt
Co-authorView RePEc recordTurkey Public Finance Review: Turkey in Transition — Time for a Fiscal Policy Pivot?
Named consultant / contributorView World Bank PDFAn Empirical Recursive-Dynamic General Equilibrium Model of Poland’s Economy
Co-authorView World Bank PDFTechnical reports
Selected technical models and advisory assignments.
Selected examples of country modelling, macro-consistent frameworks, and institutional advisory assignments.
Economic impacts of restricting trade in services
AIPEG, Jakarta, Indonesia, 2013 · with James Robertson.
Europe and Central Asia Regional Financial CGE Model
World Bank, Washington DC, 2012.
A macroeconomic model of Abu Dhabi and the United Arab Emirates
Department of Finance, Abu Dhabi, 2010.
Bosnia and Herzegovina macro-consistent model
EU Fiscal Policy Support to BiH, Sarajevo, 2007.
Georgia quarterly macro-consistent model
Ministry of Finance, Tbilisi, Georgia, 2005.
Azerbaijan oil-sector augmented macro-consistent framework
ADB and Ministry of Finance, Baku, Azerbaijan, 2004.
Botswana environmental valuation chapter
Chapter in Planning Officers Manual, Ministry of Finance, Gaborone, Botswana, 2000.
Kyrgyz Republic CGE model
National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, 1997.
Bangladesh CGE frameworks
World Bank / USAID, Washington DC, 1995–1996.
Training
Practical GAMS and CGE training for policy analysts.
Griffin CGE Solutions is listed by GAMS as an established training partner. Courses are built around three parallel tracks that advance together: economic theory, SAM data construction, and GAMS implementation — so participants understand not just how to run a model, but why it produces the results it does.
The core programme runs across five modules and can be delivered intensively over five days or spread across sessions. An advanced sixth module covers multi-regional CGE frameworks. In-house and bespoke versions are available, with content tailored to a specific sector focus (energy and climate, agriculture, trade, public finance) or a particular country dataset.
Typical audiences include ministries of finance, economy, planning, trade, energy, and climate; central banks; statistical offices; universities; international organisations; and consulting teams.
Course modules can include
- Introduction to CGE concepts and policy uses.
- SAM construction and reconciliation.
- GAMS syntax, calibration, and model solving.
- Closure rules, scenario design, and sensitivity analysis.
- Interpreting results for non-technical policy audiences.
Recognition
World Bank Group recognition for collaborative policy analysis.
Peter Griffin has received World Bank Group team awards in connection with three assignments: the Gaza Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (World Bank / EU / UN, 2021), the Beirut Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (World Bank / EU / UN, 2020), and the Palestine Prospects for Growth and Jobs general equilibrium analysis (World Bank, 2017). These awards reflect the quality and policy relevance of collaborative economy-wide modelling work conducted for governments and multilateral institutions.
About
About Griffin CGE Solutions
Applied economic modelling should be transparent enough to scrutinise, practical enough to use, and clear enough to inform decisions.
Griffin CGE Solutions is a specialist economic-modelling practice focused on computable general equilibrium modelling, macro-consistent modelling, Social Accounting Matrices, GAMS training, and policy impact analysis.
The firm was founded by Peter Griffin, an economist with 35+ years of applied modelling experience across 60+ countries. His published work includes co-authorship on World Bank policy research on Egypt's energy subsidies, the Jordan COVID-19 CGE and microsimulation analysis, and a recursive-dynamic general equilibrium model of Poland. He has contributed macroeconomic impact analysis to the Gaza and Beirut Rapid Damage and Needs Assessments, and has delivered country models and advisory assignments for institutions including the World Bank, IMF, ADB, EU, USAID, and national ministries of finance.
Griffin CGE Solutions serves clients who need specialist modelling expertise without black-box methods: transparent assumptions, documented data, auditable workflows, and results structured for policy use.
Need a transparent economy-wide model for a policy decision?
Discuss the policy question, available data, model options, timeline, and whether a standard or bespoke CGE framework is appropriate.
Start the conversationContact
Discuss an assignment, model review, or training need.
For assignments, training, or model review enquiries, contact Griffin CGE Solutions with the policy question, country or region, timeline, and available data.
Email: PG@griffinCGE.com
Website: www.griffinCGE.com